Horseman CapitalResearch

Macro Brief No. 1
November 2026

What a gold revaluation would mean for every dollar you own

The U.S. Treasury has carried its gold at the same price since 1973. This brief explains what that number is, why it matters, and what could change it.

U.S. Treasury gold, as carried on the books

Ounces held≈ 261.5 million
Book value≈ $11 billion
Official price per ounce $42.22
Revalued to $10,000 an ounce, that same gold would be worth about $2.6 trillion.

Hypothetical illustration based on the statutory price of $42.22/oz. Not a forecast or a guarantee.

The market price of gold is many times higher than the Treasury's book price. A revaluation would let the government recognize that difference on its balance sheet. It is an accounting decision, not new spending, and it has surfaced periodically in policy discussions.

A revaluation isn't required for gold to reprice. The conditions that have historically supported it are already present: sustained central bank buying, rising federal debt, and a Morgan Stanley projection that dollar weakness extends through 2027.

This brief lays out the mechanics plainly, so you can decide what, if anything, to do about them.

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In this brief

Horseman Capital is led by Robert Horseman, who has spent 17 years in the physical precious metals market. Our research is written for individuals who want the institutional view in plain English.

Robert Horseman, Founder